Vernor Vinge Flip-Flopping on the Singularity?

That's the tease Stewart Brand has given for a talk that sci-fi writer and futurist Vernor Vinge will be giving this Thursday in San Francisco as part of the Long Now Foundation's Seminars:

Technology acceleration is like what happens approaching the singularity in the center of a black hole - everything is transformed utterly and unpredictably. That metaphor was invented by science fiction writer Vernor Vinge in 1980's and has entered standard usage as a way of thinking about the near future. In this talk Vinge challenges his own idea, investigating scenarios of "a human-scaled world with long time horizons," and how that might play out over ten or twenty thousand years.

Link: Long Now > Projects > Seminars About Long Term Thinking.

Previously: Thoughts on the Singularity Summit